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Reflections on the Anambra State Elections

By:
Jideofor Adibe




The February 6, 2010 gubernatorial election in Anambra state has come and gone. Governor Peter Obi has been announced winner of the election. Several candidates in the election, while condemning the irregularities in the poll, indicated that they had no plans to challenge its outcome at the election tribunals. Chukwuma Soludo, the PDP candidate, was the first to congratulate Peter Obi, but later recanted. Chris Ngige, the AC candidate, has indicated he will challenge INEC’s declaration of Obi as the winner, arguing that the APGA candidate did not fulfil the constitutional requirement that a candidate must secure 25 percent of the total votes cast in at least two-thirds of the local government areas in the state. Obi insisted that he did. As victory sinks in, and with it triumphalism and its repercussions, it is not clear whether others that had earlier accepted the announced outcome of the election will change their mind.
 
There are several observations about the election:
 
One, the conduct of the campaigns was issues-based, with little of the mudslinging, violence and the use of thugs, which appear to have become part of the country’s political culture. This could in part be because of the quality and maturity of the candidates, and in part because all the candidates were conscious that too many eyes were on them.  We must not forget the tolerance and civility that characterised much of the campaign – irrespective of any post election dispute that may arise. 
 


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Two, the election showed that many people, including this writer, may have grossly underestimated Peter Obi’s political skills. For instance, some people are beginning to suspect that the persona Obi projects into the public space – that of a naïve administrator with little political skills- may be a deliberate mask to hide his shrewdness and goad his opponents into underestimating him. This could be akin to the way Obasanjo had for years successfully used his dour personality and temper to camouflage his smartness, extreme cunning and political calculations. His opponents who fell for the decoy have lived to regret it. In Obi’s case, his projected public persona, accentuated by his simple dressing, funny voice, and reported tightfistedness, feeds into a narrative that he is not a traditional politician (he never wears the red cap or ‘agbada’ for instance), and by innuendo, more honest than other politicians. This public persona means that given the level of voter disenfranchisement at the election, only his emergence as the Governor from the exercise would have made the outcome acceptable because the general perception is that he is too morally-driven and too naïve to be involved in election manipulation.
 
Obi’s public persona also means that, like Obasanjo, his opponents are sometimes unable to see the political plots in some of his moves. For instance when he made town unions the fourth tier of government early in the life of his regime, very few people foresaw that he was building a ‘partnership’ with the town unions, perhaps with an eye for his re-election campaign. It will not come as a surprise if the ‘apolitical’ Obi, who once indicated he would not seek re-election, and who remained unruffled at criticisms that he was doing nothing to build APGA as the party to beat in the state, uses his second term in office to plot for a higher political outing for himself.
 


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