We are happy to present the results of our second opinion poll for the February 6, 2010 gubernatorial elections in Anambra state. The survey was based on 9000 likely voters in the state, and was conducted on January 21-23 2010 by a combination of telephone calls and direct interviews across the 21 local government areas of Anambra State.
The survey was conducted in collaboration with the Awka-based ‘Dozie Anambra Professionals’ who helped us to recruit, train and supervise the 100 interviewers used in the survey. The interviewers were employed over three days, and each interview, by telephone or face-to-face, lasted an average of one minute. A marketing company in Nigeria, which does not want to be named, helped us to tabulate the results. We fully paid for the survey.
The focus of the survey was on ‘likely voters’ in the forthcoming elections. We used two screening questions to determine who qualifies to be a ‘likely voter’:
“Are you of a voting Age?”(b) “Will you vote in the forthcoming governorship elections in the state”? Answering ‘yes’ to both questions qualifies you to be a ‘likely voter’. The survey did not set out to measure the demographics that support each candidate.
Focus was again on the seven candidates we considered the leading contenders in the first poll (December 23-26, 2009). These candidates are: (Peter Obi (APGA); (Dr Chris Ngige, AC), (Prof Chukwuma Soludo, PDP), Andy Uba (Labour), (Mrs Uche Ekwunife, PPA); (Chief Okey Nwosu, ADC, and (Prince Nicholas Ukachukwu, HDP).
The total support for candidates outside the above seven is extremely small. We have used ‘Others’ to capture this support in relevant instances
The margin of sampling error for results based on the total sample is plus or minus 4 percentage points.
Sincerely
Jideofor Adibe, PhD, LLM
CEO, Holler Africa!
Publisher, Adonis & Abbey Publishers Ltd
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Soludo Widens Lead, Ngige and Ekwunife Also Record Gains
We asked the respondents:
If the elections were held tomorrow, which of the candidates will you vote for?
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View Comments
Date:Feb 07, 2010
your poll was biased and misleading an attempt to give victory to Soludo of the PDP. Obi is the clear winner
Date:Feb 03, 2010
This Opinion poll to me seem very credible. I am happy to come across this site owned and Managed by a Nigerian. The poll is in line with my believe and the believe of most of the people around my area. Although i will vote for AC but i fear that PDP will win the poll. As for free and fair election i see that happening and my vote counting for the first time.
