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Thursday,Dec 03,2009
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Thursday,Nov 26,2009
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Thursday,Nov 19,2009
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We are happy to present the results of our first opinion poll for the February 6, 2010 gubernatorial elections in Anambra state. The survey was based on 9000 likely voters in the state, and was conducted on December 23-26, 2009 by a combination of telephone calls and direct interviews cutting across different social classes and spread out across the 21 local government areas of Anambra State.
Focus was on the seven candidates we consider the leading contenders in the election. These candidates are: (Peter Obi (APGA); (Dr Chris Ngige, AC), (Prof Chukwuma Soludo, PDP), Andy Uba (Labour), (Mrs Uche Ekwunife, PPA); (Chief Okey Nwosu, ADC, and (Prince Nicholas Ukachukwu, HDP).
The total support for candidates outside the above seven is extremely small. We have used ‘Others’ to capture this support in relevant instances
The “Undecided” are those who said they had not made up their minds on which candidate to support. The percentage of this group is again very small, confirming beliefs that people from the state tend to hold and express strong opinions.
The poll was conducted in collaboration with the independent, not-for-profit group, “Dozie Anambra Professionals”.
Interviews with 9000 likely voters in the February 6, 2010, gubernatorial elections in Anambra state conducted on December 23-26 2009 by a combination of telephone calls and direct interviews. Focus was on the seven candidates we consider the leading contenders in the election. These candidates are: (Peter Obi (APGA); (Dr Chris Ngige, AC) (Prof Chukwuma Soludo, PDP), Andy Uba (Labour), (Mrs Uche Ekwunife, PPA); (Chief Okey Nwosu, ADC, and (Prince Nicholas Ukachukwu, HDP). Respondents who express support for candidates outside these seven are lumped together under the category of ‘Others’.
The margin of sampling error for results based on the total sample is plus or minus 3 percentage points.
1) Do you think the election will be free and fair?
Explain….
Yes, it will be free and fair 59.5%
No, it won’t 41.5%
Most of the respondents who thought the election would be free and fair mentioned the following: (i) that Professor Maurice Iwu would want to use it as an opportunity to redeem himself following the controversy that dogged the 2007 elections. (ii) that the INEC chairman would want to use it to make a case for his re-appointment (iii) that all eyes will be on Anambra state and for this reason, there will be a lot of pressure from both within and outside the country for INEC to get it right.
Most of those who thought the election will not be free mentioned: (i) that no state in Nigeria, in particular Anambra state, has a history of ‘free and ‘fair elections’; (ii) that the candidates in the election have big egos and deep pockets and will never concede defeat even when it is clear that they lost, (iii) that Professor Maurice Iwu will try to rig the election in favour of Andy Uba, who, they claimed influenced the appointment of the INEC chairman to his position.
Articles published on this website are reviewed before publication, which means there may be a delay between the time you sent your article and its appearance on the website. Holler Africa! reserves the right to edit articles for style and length.
View Comments
PRINCE DON
Date:Feb 15, 2010
Dr Adibe thanks for the oppinion poll. But in this isue of Governorship I tink soludo should go and make peace in his home town because charity they say begins at home .if not if by any chance he become's the Governor their will be crises all over the state and their will be no PEACE which is the major thing.thanks ~PRINCE DON~
Emmanuel Sai BaBa
Date:Feb 10, 2010
i am very happy that mr Peter Obi will still continues on the good leadership of anambra state. (Ghana) Emmalex: +233247647807.Onye Aghana Nwa Nne Yaa! APGA
Date:Feb 06, 2010
my name is barrister chy.my commemt is that i dont want solodo to be the governor of my state anambra becouse when he was the governor of NBC he eat our money.anambra has no rizen to elect him as anambra state governor.solodo is a stupid man of his own world.as anambra fans iam be. i will like the governoship election to work under ngige uba.hta man is very one derfull.taxs
Date:Jan 05, 2010
NWA NNAA ADIBE, O KA OMEE.IFE IKWULU BU EZIOKWU. JISIE IKE. SOLUDO GA ACHI.MA O SOLU FA, MA O SORO FA.
Date:Jan 03, 2010
ANTHONY EZEOKE(Germany)
Thanks for the poll yo e when you can conduct debates for the contestants.
I am a great admirer of Prof.Sol y wins.
please,can you use your medium to get me connected to him or his campaign organisation.
I co .+491724411074.
Thanks.
Chief Okeke (Moscow)
Date:Jan 01, 2010
Dear Dr.Adibe,
Thanks a lot for this opinion poll. It has given me some insight into the direction my beloved home state, Anambra is headed. I am enco t.
Now I have ca ater.
Thank yo ess you.
Chief Okeke CC
Moscow, Russia
